.THERE IS ACTUALLY minimal uncertainty about the very likely victor of Britain's general election on July fourth: along with a lead of 20 percent aspects in nationwide viewpoint surveys, the Work Celebration is actually extremely most likely to win. But there is actually anxiety regarding the size of Work's bulk in Britain's 650-seat Property of Commons. Some polling companies have actually published seat forecasts utilizing an unique technique called multi-level regression and also post-stratification (MRP). What are actually these surveys-- and also just how correct are they?